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Will EUR/USD Continue to Fall?

September 27, 2021

  • EUR/USD started to climb higher after testing support near 1.1680.
  • Bearish trend line has formed resistance near 1.1755.

The Euro, US Dollar pair had declined below 1.1700, trading as low as 1.1683 before starting an upside correction.

EUR/USD 4-Hour Chart (Trend: BEARISH)

On the 4-hour chart, the pair recovered above the 1.1720 resistance level, breaking above the 50% Fibonacci retracement level of the recent downward move from the swing high of 1.1788 to the swing low of 1.1683.

Further gains could be limited as there is strong resistance from the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level (of the 1.1788 high to the 1.1683 low), and the major bearish trend line near 1.1755. If the quote can break past both these levels, it will next find resistance from the 1.1800 level, and both the 100-MA (red) and 200-MA (blue). A break above the 1.1800 resistance level will likely see bullish momentum increase, which could take the quote back up towards the 1.1900 level, last seen on September 3rd.

In contrast, if resistance holds at 1.1750, the quote will likely drop down towards the  1.1700 support level. If this level is broken, the next support is near 1.1680. A break here could see bearish momentum drive the quote down as low as 1.1620, a level not seen since November 2020.

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