CFDは複雑な手段であり、レバレッジのために急速にお金を失うリスクが高くなります。 このプロバイダーでCFDを取引すると、個人投資家のアカウントの72.78%がお金を失います。 CFDがどのように機能するかを理解しているかどうか、およびCFDを取引する前にお金を失うリスクが高いかどうかを検討する必要があります。

テクニカル分析

The Hammer Candlestick Formation

What Is a Hammer?

  • Considered a reversal formation and forms when price moves well below open, but then rallies to close near open if not higher. (inverted hammer is the mirror opposite)
    • Forms a candlestick with a long lower shadow (tail), and a small body with little or no wick–looks like a hammer or mallet. (inverted hammer is the mirror opposite)
  • Depending on the previous trend, a hammer may be referred to as a hanging man or shooting star, but the same concept applies. Bullish or bearish bias depends on the previous price swing or trend.
    • A hammer after an uptrend is called a hanging man.
    • An inverted hammer after an uptrend is called a shooting star.

Why are Hammers important?

  • May act as a leading indicator suggesting a shift in bullish/bearish momentum
  • Completed hammers may help to either confirm or negate, a potential significant high or low has occurred. –price drives higher or lower “hammering” out a top or bottom before closing back towards open
  • Significance increases with length of shadow (ideally 2-3 times the size of the body) as well as the timeframe
  • Hammers may also help confirm, or strengthen, other reversal indicators (i.e. may occur as part of the tweezer formation, or next to doji, etc.)
  • A hammer “fails” when a new high is achieved immediately after completion (candle), and a hammer bottom “fails” if the next candle achieves new low.
    • A hammer “fails” when a new high is achieved immediately after completion (candle), and a hammer bottom “fails” if the next candle achieves new low.

Example 1 – AUD/USD – 5min

AUD/USD – 5min (Same as above, but zoomed in)

AUD/USD – 5min (Same as above, but zoomed in)

Example 2 – USD/CAD – Daily

Example 2 – USD/CAD – Daily

Example

In the following 4 hour chart of USD/JPY, a hammer formed near an ascending trendline that represents a support level, suggesting a possible continuation.

Given that the hammer did not break the trendline, we receive our confirmation to enter the trade. We buy USD/JPY at 99.60 while placing our stop-loss slightly below the ascending trendline at 99.30.

The pair rallies in line with our desired direction, advancing over 90 pips before breaking the trendline. We exit our position upon the close below ascending trendline, allowing us to attain a healthy 3:1 reward to risk ratio.

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